by Michael Snyder

Throughout U.S. history, there have always been signs that a major downturn was coming, and that is precisely what we are witnessing right now.  Tax revenues are way down, demand for trucking services is way down, demand for cardboard boxes is way down, the money supply is shrinking at the fastest pace in modern history, and the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators has already declined for 15 months in a row.  At this point, anyone that cannot see what is coming has got to be willingly blind.  The following are 7 trends which indicate that economic disaster is approaching very rapidly…

#1 When economic activity slows down, less tax revenue comes in.  Right now, federal government and state government tax revenues are declining precipitously… 

US state and local governments just experienced the worst decline in income tax revenues ever recorded.

This was the second steepest year-over-year percentage decline in history, with only the GFC having a worse outcome.

Note that Federal tax receipts are also dropped again, now at recessionary levels and approaching -10% on a YoY basis.

#2 When the economy slows down, trucking companies see less demand for their services.  So it is deeply alarming that truck freight volume and spending absolutely plummeted during the second quarter…

Truck freight volume and spending in the second quarter of 2023 declined by the highest levels since the early days of the pandemic, the latest U.S. Bank Freight Payment Index revealed. Spending by shippers dropped 10.9% compared to the second quarter of 2022 while shipment volume dropped 9%, according to a statement from the Minneapolis-based bank.

#3 Employment is supposed to be the “bright spot” for the economy, but the latest employment report shows that the U.S. actually lost 585,000 full-time jobs last month…

Well, one look at this month’s adjustment and it’s literally a shocker: you will not hear anyone from the Biden admin or associated economist cheerleaders mention this, but the BLS reported that in July the number of full-time jobs plunged by 585,000 to 134.274 million, the biggest monthly drop since record covid crash of 14.7 million jobs!

#4 U.S. employers have already announced more job cuts this year than they did in all of 2022, and the hits just keep on coming…

CVS Health said Monday it is cutting approximately 5,000 jobs to focus more on healthcare services for its customers.